A Comparative Analysis of the Financial Health of Public and Private Sector Banks in India Using the Taffler Model

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NEELAM RANI

Abstract

Purpose: This paper compares the financial health of public and private sector banks in India and asks whether the gap between the two groups is statistically meaningful.


Design/methodology/approach: Eight public sector banks (PSBs) and eight private sector banks (PVBs) were studied over six financial years, FY 2020–21 to FY 2025–26 (96 bank-year observations). Taffler scores were computed from audited annual report data, with the model’s four ratios adapted to the structure of bank balance sheets. Group differences were tested with Welch’s independent-samples t-test and confirmed with the Mann–Whitney U test.


Findings: The mean Taffler score of private sector banks (0.1135) was 1.8 times that of public sector banks (0.0625), and the difference was significant (Welch’s t(8.61) = −3.91, p = .004; Hedges’ g = 1.85). About three-quarters of the gap came from a single ratio, profit before tax to current liabilities. Every bank fell below the conventional cut-off of 0.20, which says more about the poor fit of manufacturing-era thresholds to banks than about the banks themselves.

References

Agarwal, V., & Taffler, R. J. (2007). Twenty-five years of the Taffler z-score model: Does it really have predictive ability? Accounting and Business Research, 37(4), 285–300.

Agarwal, V., & Taffler, R. (2008). Comparing the performance of market-based and accounting-based bankruptcy prediction models. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(8), 1541–1551.

Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589–609.

Axis Bank. (2021–2026). Annual reports, 2020–21 to 2025–26. https://www.axisbank.com

Bank of Baroda. (2021–2026). Annual reports, 2020–21 to 2025–26. https://www.bankofbaroda.in

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A Comparative Analysis of the Financial Health of Public and Private Sector Banks in India Using the Taffler Model. (2026). Kuwait Research Journal of Business Management, 9(1), 22-44. https://tourismresearch.info/index.php/krjbm/article/view/5